OF ECB, S&P 500 Dramatic Rise and I

OF ECB, S&P 500 Dramatic Rise and I

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Thu Sep 6, 2012 3:19pm EDT

* Draghi gets ECB backing for open-ended bond-buying

* Data on service sector, labor market bullish

* Semiconductor companies rally, lifting Nasdaq

* Indexes up: Dow 1.7 pct, S&P 1.9 pct, Nasdaq 2 pct

By Ryan Vlastelica

NEW YORK, Sept 6 (Reuters) – The S&P 500 jumped to a more than four-year high on Thursday as a new bond-buying program in Europe was hailed as an effective way to contain the region’s debt crisis.

Positive sentiment was also lifted by bullish data on the U.S. services sector and labor market, the latter especially notable ahead of Friday’s non-farm payrolls report.

The rally was broad, with materials, financials and industrials– all groups tied to the pace of economic growth– leading the way with gains of more than 2 percent. Advancers outnumbered decliners by a ratio of more than 4 to 1 while the Dow had its biggest gain in two months and the Nasdaq advanced to its highest level since 2000.

ECB President Mario Draghi, seeking to back up his July pledge to do whatever it takes to preserve the euro, said the central bank’s new plan of potentially unlimited bond-buying would address bond market distortions and “unfounded” fears of investors about the survival of the euro.

“We think this is a credible plan to addressing the issue, and while there are still political hurdles we expect those will be addressed,” said Alec Young, global equity strategist at S&P Equity Research in New York.

U.S. companies added staff in August at the fastest clip in five months, according to the better-than-expected ADP report, while a gauge of employment in the service sector also improved more than had been anticipated. Another report showed new claims for jobless benefits fell last week to the lowest level in a month.

Even with Thursday’s encouraging numbers, economists think the payroll report will show only modest hiring of 125,000 jobs and the unemployment rate holding steady at 8.3 percent. Investors will scrutinize the details for clues as to when the Federal Reserve may provide more stimulus to prop up economic growth.

“ADP doesn’t correlate perfectly with payrolls, but people are feeling better about the jobs market these days,” Young said. “There was confidence we would see jobs in the mid-100′s even before this.”

The Dow Jones industrial average was up 217.11 points, or 1.66 percent, at 13,264.59. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index was up 26.43 points, or 1.88 percent, at 1,429.87– its highest level since May 2008 as the financial crisis began to gather pace. The Nasdaq Composite Index was up 62.52 points, or 2.04 percent, at 3,131.78 — its highest level in 12 years.

The ECB’s program, which Germany’s Bundesbank is known to have opposed, would focus on bonds maturing within three years and was strictly within the ECB’s mandate. Draghi said only one member of the ECB Governing Council had dissented.

The ECB also announced that it will keep its main interest rate at a record low of 0.75 percent, holding fire after a pick-up in inflation last month offset pressure to breathe life into the flagging euro zone economy by easing borrowing costs.

Tech shares helped lift the Nasdaq to its best daily performance since July 27. SanDisk Corp climbed 8.3 percent to $43.97 and Micron Technolgy Inc added 7 percent to $6.63. The Dow was lifted by Walt Disney Co, which advanced to an all-time high of $51.75.

In company news, Supervalu Inc said it would close about five dozen stores as it works to turn around its grocery business, which lags Kroger Co and Wal-Mart Stores Inc . The stock was up 2.2 percent at $2.33.

Realty Income Corp plans to acquire American Realty Capital Trust Inc for about $1.93 billion as it looks to diversify its portfolio outside of the retail industry. Shares of Realty Income slipped 0.05 percent to $42.46 and Capital Trust rose 1.9 percent to $12.19.

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Mario Draghi: stand and deliver

The imaginative and astute ECB leader has lived up to his side of the bargain, but his plan is wrong-headed and insufficient

On Thursday afternoon the fate of the entire 17-member eurozone rested on the shoulders of one man: Mario Draghi. That such an assertion can be made – without the umistakable smack of hyperbole – surely shows what trouble the euro project is now in. Because no matter how innovative or bold Mr Draghi’s response – and it was undoubtedly both – the success or failure of a currency, a single market, and a political project should never be in the gift of an unelected central banker and his equally unelected colleagues.

Yet throughout the panic and denial and firefighting of the past couple of years, two major trends in European policy-making are observable: first, economic power in the continent has shifted away from national governments and towards the European Central Bank; second, and this is surely related, European politicians and policymakers have omitted to make the case for why the euro should exist at all. Instead they assert that the euro must continue – “whatever it takes“, as Mr Draghi said this summer – or they conflate austerity with the euro with Europe, as Angela Merkel repeatedly does. The result is that what has to be a grand, cross-national political project if it is to survive at all is no such thing; it is becoming ever more an elite project that is only able to endure at the costs of those lower down in society, especially in southern Europe. For those at the top: officially granted liquidity. For those at the bottom: unnegotiable austerity.

The announcement by Mr Draghi fits neatly into this pattern. The new plan to rescue the euro sounds complicated, but it really boils down to one thing: a guarantee that nations struggling to raise funds from financial markets will be helped out by the ECB. The scheme even has a name: outright monetary transactions, or OMT, or, as wags dubbed it, on my tab – since that is effectively what Mr Draghi is now offering the rest of the euro club, to put the mother of all credit cards behind the bar. The net result will be to wreck the ECB’s balance sheet, but along the way there will also be strict austerity conditions. Before digging into the problems with this latest solution, one big acknowledgment must be made: this is about as big a step as the ECB could have taken.

The previous boss of Frankfurt, Jean-Claude Trichet, would barely have dreamed up such a scheme, let alone pushed it through. It is clear too that Germany has been forced to go along with this: it was as good as admitted that the Bundesbank opposed this scheme – a rather crucial no vote, given that it is the Germans who will have to act as paymasters-in-chief. In his imaginativeness and political astuteness, Mr Draghi has lived up to his side of the bargain to do “whatever it takes”. Yet the plan, in its insistence on austerity conditions, is wrong-headed and, in total, not enough. The debt problems for Spain and Italy have worsened partly as a result of their economies slowing down: so strong-arming them into making ever more spending cuts will just intensify the death spiral. If you want a parallel, just look at George Osborne’s double-dip recession, created with a very similar mix of “fiscal conservatism and monetary activism”. As the chancellor has found, even after Mervyn King has thrown the best part of £400bn at the economy, a recovery can’t be rustled up to order. Nor can spending cuts: just ask Madrid, which is having to bail out stricken provinces left, right and centre.

This argument should remind us of just how multifaceted the eurozone’s problems are. There is the huge and pressing issue of the financing of Spanish and Italian government (and bank) debt; which Mr Draghi has tried to sort out. But then there is the economic problem of a whole chunk of the continent now heading deep into recession – and taking the rest down with it. There is the political problem of forcing cuts on voters. Finally, there is the biggest issue of all: of why exactly this configuration of the euro should be saved at all. On that last point, certainly, Mr Draghi won’t be able to help.

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  • jacks16 September 2012 8:55PM

    And so the suffering of the people of Europe will continue, indeed, get much much worse as the internal devaluations continue apace.

    All in order to keep the ambitions of vain policy makers intact.

    This will end very badly.

  • worried6 September 2012 9:01PM

    So the central bank is now running the politics of Europe. Aha!

    And you say 400 bill are being shunted the private banks’ way ?
    How come you do not address the concommitant key issues?
    - why does the ECB act through private banks
    - why are the private banks free to do what they like with the 400 bill?

  • K2K2K26 September 2012 9:02PM

    I don’t know about Italy, but for Spain the moment the banks start giving credits to small/medium businesses the economy will start to create jobs. Spanish exports are doing better, in relation to the country’s economy’s size, than those of most European countries, including Britain. The problem is that there is no liquid money, and this forces prosperous businesses to close and fire thousands of employees every week. But the German Bundesbank (BuBa) refuses to allow the massive buying of Spanish or Italian debt, and this makes it impossible for the economy to recover, cuts or no cuts. Why should Spain find more problems to finance its debt than other countries with worse economic indicators (bigger national debt, bigger deficit)? We are paying the consequences of the economic deficiencies of the construction of the Euro, and Germany/BuBa are benefitting from it. But to attract too much money will in the long run create inflation in Germany (prices will go up with so much money around), and they are starting to realize that. Already in the past Helmut Schmit had to remind the Nazi executives of Buba their past responsibilities in Austwitz, in order to force themto change their stubborn and criminal opposition to European common economic policies, and Kohl had to sth similar in the 1990s. Having said this, we have all made huge mistakes, and it is well we pay for them, but this is way beyond the acceptable.

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